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Ask HN: Is anyone shorting the overspend in AI yet?

Ask HN: Is anyone shorting the overspend in AI yet?
16 points by ggm 20 hours ago | hide | past | favorite | 12 comments

I and a small cohort of friends truly believe that the "$1T" floats are going to burn capital. We think this is a disaster of landgrab spend, and that the cost of a token cannot be recovered by future commercial use.

If this theory is correct, then following on from the housing debt crisis, this is a hollow shell and so somebody in finance should be shorting the floats, and betting on a crash to clean up.

Polymarket betting aside, is anyone able to confirm that there are funds looking at a short play in the AI space, or is everyone on-board with things and nobody is taking the other side of the bet?

I am not in fintech or investing, I am not seeking alpha to do this, I don't invest directly. I am however interested in validating my theory that somebody smart out there sees a huge upside in the explosion when this attempt to buy market share in Unicorn juice explodes.

NVDA as an example has under 2% of its trade in shorts. I can't tell if thats big or small TBH. Feels small.

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